Right I'm up for a fight
Just knocked back a nice strong bloody mary and feel in a pugilistic mood.
So let's start with a little 2012 conjecture.
The finishing order of which is pretty much pre ordained already. 1,2,3 Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa - although Pedro may be relegated a place or two as ship to shore ear pieces are not legal in MotoGP as I understand.
4th is all Spies'.
Positions 5,6,7 should be scrapped over between Dovi, Crutchlow and Bautista.
8,9,10 will be Bradl and the two factory Ducati's. Although Rossi has every chance of raising himself to the former group swapping places with either,or both, the smiling Spaniard (who will continue to throw it away when looking good) or Crutchlow who loses his pre season euphoria. Hayden is a clear 10th to me.
Then Randy and the rest of the CRT's.
The juicy part, once the season is done and dusted, is who goes where. Most of which hinges on Rossi. Does he finish the season on a high or low? Low means goodbye MotoGP hello WSBK or retirement. High means he stays put. Hayden will finally be cast aside to scrounge around for a CRT or WSBK ride. Ducati will make a play for Spies and Pedro.
Spies in a mirror image of 2010 Rossi, being unable to see a way past Lorenzo, takes a punt on Ducati. Backing himself as adaptable enough to take advantage of the Ducati's strengths rather than moan about their weaknesses. Pedrosa buys another year with Repsol and HRC - but only 2013. If Rossi also jumps then Ducati take a punt on a youngster. Petrucci, Redding or Bradl. The silly can't move to a factory team straight up rule will hopefully be dropped.
With Spies to Ducati. Yamaha have a void to fill. Best bet Bradl. Although there's alway the possibility of Pedrosa moving factories to make way for Marquez at HRC / Repsol.
Suzuki and Kawasaki being the splineless industrial giants they are will continue as they did 2012. Watching their market share plummet in a direct correlation to their shrivelled corporate plums.
What will be interesting is whether Aprilia take their road bike engine ART / CRT and redesign it to MotoGP prototype spec and re-enter the series proper, rather than their very clever back door way currently employed.
Right glass empty. Time for a refill.