Cal is in line for fourth on current form.
Dovi will qualify well but drop off in the race on current form.
Rossi will qualify badly and either bin it or finish in the top 5 on current form.
Jorge will be fighting with Mark and Dani for the win on current form.
Cal might finish 3rd if Mark, Dani or Jorge crash, Mark most likely on current form.
our feelings, opinions and bigotry will count for nought as we're not riding the bikes and wishing with all your heart for a miracle won't make it happen, if it did Cal would not only be leading the WC by now, he would be have absolutely no serious competition(my miracle).
Herve isn't looking to Pol, his preferred choice is Cal right now but Pol didn't self destruct until the start of this season after already being touted for the Tech3 Ride under factory control so Yamaha are probably thinking of changing tack and sign Cal instead (the days of the rider upsetting the Japanese sense of inscrucability are loooooooooooong gone, they are into success and money like the rest of us) and who could blame them, they want a tryer with the possibility of becoming a winner, not a bottler who needs big bro to mop his furrowed brow at every turn and still ride like Poo.
this is as much a money WC as a sport and Cal is "in" at the moment, Pol is "out", politics is all that can stop Cal being on a factory supported Yam next year, we all know it whether it fits our bigotry or proclivities or not.
sorry, tough sport, tough guys, weak bottlers don't get on but this could all change this weekend.