Nice to see a slightly more reasoned case, put across in more reasonable tone, but when it comes to my earlier post, there is no contradiction! Let me explain.
The Mod 1 test is here, right now, has injured many people and may yet kill. It needs looking at, if for no other reason then because of the crazy notion of a minimum speed without feedback and with no dependence of weather, grip or vehicle performance. It's giving people the willies, people who trainers think are up to it, and as a reult they're crashing. That defines a stupid implementation of a test, however well intentioned it may be. The basic principle (of demanding a swerve) seems entirelyt reasonable, but there need to be some sensible variables and safeguards.
The 3rd Directive is on it's way, subject to consultation. In other words it isn't yet implemented, and yes it could, if sensibly implemented, save lives. It will further delay young riders' access to the most powerful machines, and that might well help, especially with young male riders, as long as you don't deter them from riding altogether. Personally I think most riders should cut their teeth on lower powered, easy to ride, sit up and beg, machines, with fairly gradual progression to animals of twice the weight, ten times the power, and an interesting take on rearward vision.
However, attemoting to reduce KSIs by killing an industry and desuading people from riding certainly wouldn't be my ideal and what's more, it may have the opposite effect.
Did you know that if you increase the total number of a minority category of vulnerable road users, then the total KSIs in that sector can actually fall as a result? Best of all, the lower KSIs are shared amongst a larger number of users - double whammy. Similarly, if box drivers were more used to seeing us, all year round, at every end and turn, then their expectations and active looking-out for us would only increase, leading to reduced collisions between us. The same notion has been reasonably well proven for pedal cyclists. Conversely the reverse will be true too - as our numbers fall the hazard to each of us will increase disproportionately!
So, time to fix the test, get involved w.r.t. the Third Directive, and promote our wonderful means of travelling about the place.
What puzzles me, is your absolute faith in the mod 1 test as it is... Is any radical new thing ever so good that it can't be improved? Maybe you invented it and will defend it to the hilt come what may?